Archive for the ‘Sports Betting’ Category

The 10 Rules for Horse Betting

Monday, November 30th, 2009

Rule 1 Money Management

This is the most important rule of all. It is a must for horse players and all people involved in gambling. If you are serious about making money gambling you must incorporate a money management system. I define a money management system as a determination of how much money is safely wagered on any given bet. Try to find a money management system that best suits your betting style and bankroll. I will write more about money management in up coming articles.

Rule 2 Do Not Chase

Like Little Orphan Annie said “the sun will come out tomorrow.” How many times have you been down, and found yourself playing a track or race you would not have normally played. What usually happens is that you force plays and lose, only to be down more money. Being able to take losses is a difficult lesson to learn, but one that must be learned if you desire success in gambling. I promise the sun will come out tomorrow and so will the horses.

Rule 3 Stay Away From Sure Things

Let me say this in plain English, there is no such thing as a sure thing. Anything can happen in a race. If you have been around long enough you probably have seen some crazy things happen in races.
Let me tell you my own true story about tips at the race track.

I have been an owner of thoroughbred race horses for about 12 years. That being said, my first time on the backside of the track was to watch my first horse breeze. While I was there my trainer was talking to another trainer about the races that day. The other trainer told us how he loved his horse that was entered to run in a maiden race that afternoon. I quickly marked it on my program and was looking forward to making a sizable bet. Shortly later my trainer and I came across another trainer who told us how he had a great shot in the same maiden race. I quickly marked it and said to myself, this is great I can make an exacta box and really make a score. Later the same morning we came across another trainer and a jockey and believe it or not they both loved their horses in the same maiden race. Now I had four horses out of nine that had a great shot that day. I went to the track that afternoon and I handicapped the race. I found a horse that displayed many of the things I look for when picking a winner in a maiden race. I then decided to key my selection for 1st 2nd and 3rd in trifectas with the four tips I received in the morning. Sure money, so I thought. The result was that my pick won the race and paid $30 and change and only one of the four horses finished better than 4th. From that day on I have been very skeptical of inside tips at the track. There is no easy money at the track. You have to do your work and trust your own picks.

Rule 4 Keep Records

When using a service or your own handicapping selections, it is very important to keep accurate records. Keeping records is the only way to determine if your system works. Be sure to allow a fair amount of time when judging a system or service. I recommend a minimum of 100 bets in order to gauge the reliability of your system. You should keep records wager types and amounts along with profits and losses. You will be amazed to see certain patterns develop. This allows you to focus on your strengths while eliminating your weaknesses. The main reason people do not keep records is that they cannot bear to see all the losses. If you choose not to keep records, you will never learn from your mistakes and are sure to make the same mistakes over and over again.

Rule 5 Look for Value

There are differences of opinion when it comes to the topic of value. I define value as the risk versus the potential reward. Some say that value means not playing a favorite or a horse at 3-1 or less. I do not limit myself to specific odds when determining value. Although I am the last person to look for favorites, there are times when they offer value. Value is determined on a race by race basis. When handicapping races it is a good idea to play lines maker. Handicappers often overlook this idea, but it is useful in uncovering value in a race. I try to find races where a favorite is over bet and vulnerable. Doing this will increase your ROI (return on investment) over the long run.

Rule 6 Do Not Force a Bet

This is a difficult rule for horse handicappers. There are many races in a day and many days in a year. So do not make a bet unless you feel it is a smart one. A serious horse handicapper must have the discipline to pass on races about which he does not have strong opinion. Before you bet, ask yourself, “is it a good bet.” Listen to yourself, there should be not regrets on the wager you make.

Rule 7 Be Flexible on Betting Angles

Successful Handicappers are not a slave to any particular angle. Using only one angle greatly limits your potential profits. It is important to learn and incorporate different angles when handicapping horses. An astute handicapper can determine which angles to apply to a particular race. Speed figures, pace, drop downs, pedigrees etc., are all valuable and should be used in conjunction when looking for a winner.

Rule 8 Be Prepared

The boy scouts preach, “Be prepared.” This seems obvious but the advice is seldom followed. First, look over the card in order to find races with value. These are the races to study further. Sharp handicappers have most of their work done before the track opens. When at the track, get the scratches and determine if it affects your selections. Since you did your home work you will have time to adjust or cancel your play. Doing your work in advance also allows time to view the horses and the tote board before making your bet.

Rule 9 Trust Your Instincts

To be a successful handicapper you must trust your instincts. I personally struggled with this in the beginning of my career. I would handicap the race, circle my picks and then begin to second guess myself. The result was that many more times than not my original picks were winners. It took many losing tickets to learn “think long, think wrong”. Go with your first instincts and trust your skills as a handicapper.

Rule 10 Have the Winner’s Attitude

Although I mention this last it should probably be first on my list. If you go to the track without a winner’s attitude, you have lost before you have begun. In order to win at any type of gambling you must be confident. The one thing all the so called hard luck people have in common is a lack of a winning attitude. If you have a losing attitude your subconscious mind will make losing a reality. Conversely if you have the winner’s attitude your subconscious mind will allow you to make accurate decisions. If you do not have the proper mind set to gamble, please don’t. You will only self fulfill your losing prophecy.

Copyright ฉ 2009 Bull Market Sports Handicappers – www.bmshandicappers.com

9 Ways To Win At Sports Betting

Friday, October 2nd, 2009

If you are looking to try your luck at sports betting then know that you do have greater odds of winning in this game than you would in roulette or craps. While those are games of chance, sports betting is a game of predicting a foreseeable outcome. Here are some tips on how to win big at the big game.

9.Place Bets on the Right Sports Book
Statistics suggest that placing bets with the correct sports book will make a big difference, and increase the odds of winning by 3%.

8.Bet Against the Public
There are some that claim that “fading the public” can be profitable. This has led many bettors to bet on the other team than is predicted.

7.Do Your Homework Before the Game
The best way to win sports betting is to research all aspects of a game, especially circumstances and data that others would not consider. Not even bookies will have time to research every sport and every game. Therefore, if you can create a niche for yourself, you could become an expert on a smaller conferences and find yourself winning big money.

6.Choose the Underdog at Home
Statistically speaking, it’s a good idea to bet on an underdog at home. A team will put forth their best effort at home stadium and underdogs have a way of triumphing over the odds in general. Using this strategy you may beat the odds too.

5.Bet at Just the Right Time
Bettors who bet on underdogs usually bet early. Therefore, if you are betting on an underdog try and bet late. If you are betting on the favorite then bet early. Going against the grain in sports gambling is often a smart move.

4.Make Arbitrage Bets
You can make money on sure bets regardless of the outcome of a game with arbitrage bets. The advantage of these bets is that it doesn’t matter what the outcome of a game is, since the only bet you made was on a specific happening.

3.Square or Sucker Lines
Many betters try to stay away from square lines (that is, lines that are designed to lure public opinion into betting a certain way) and in the end, can even make money off these phony wagers if they can closely monitor the betting percentages.

2.Never Gamble While Drinking
This may be common knowledge to some, a great shock to others. However, when you drink an alcoholic beverage, your judgment will be significantly clouded. A drink may also give you that extra “courage” to make a rash and expensive decision.

1.Manage your Gambling Money
Another lesson in common sense that is often ignored when it comes time to put down a wager: never bet more than you can afford to lose. In fact, it is recommended that you set aside a portion of your money for betting and to stick with it, regardless of your winnings or losses. Lastly, try to spread your total among a few smaller bets rather than risk it all on one sure thing that may not be as predictable as everyone thinks.

Different types of sports wagers

Wednesday, September 23rd, 2009

This article is intended to explain the different types of bets in a simple manner so as not to confuse the novice gambler looking for information and bet types. Please continue reading to find out all the different types of bets.

Straight Bet

A straight bet involves one single wager, whether it is on your team to cover the point spread to win the game straight up on the money line, or to go over/under the total at the end of the game.

Parlay

A parlay is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers and is dependent on all of those wagers winning together. The main benefit of betting a parlay is much better odds than placing single bets separately since the difficulty of hitting is much higher. Standard payoffs on a two-team parlay are 13/5; while a three-teamer pays 6/1 and a four-teamer 10/1. Parlay cards are also common in sportsbooks and popular with bettors. They are released early in the week with set odds that do not change in return for a slightly lower payoff.

Round Robin

Daring bettors who enjoy betting parlays will sometimes put together a series of parlays called a round robin. A three-team round robin consists of one three-team parlay and three two-team parlays. Example: John likes teams A,B and C – with a round robin he has a three-teamer with ABC and a two-temar with AB, AC, and BC.

Teaser Bet

Teaser bets are similar to parlays. Teaser bets are single bets that link together two or more single wagers, but they are different in that the point spread is adjusted to your advantage on each single wager. In exchange for the points, you get less of a return on your bet compared to that of a parlay.

Example: a 6 point teaser would move the line on a 7 point favorite team from -7 to -1, which means the team would have to cover 6 less points. Each separate wager must win or the bet is a loss.

Above we have gone over and listed the most common types of sports bets widely used and known today. However, as sports’ betting continues to grow, sportsbooks will continue to develop creative new ways to place bets.

To find a great online SportsBook, visit this page for some amazing online sportsbook sites that offer free bets and bonuses.

Point Spreads Explained

Wednesday, September 16th, 2009

The first step to learning about sports betting is to understand point spreads. Most people are intrigued by betting lingo but lack the basic understanding of what it all means. Below we will explain point spreads and we will then be on our way to the fun world of sports betting!

What is a Point Spread?

In any basketball or football game there are two teams that are playing against one another. Those teams are rarely exactly matched – meaning that typically one team will have a better chance at winning the game then the other one will. If bettors were permitted to bet on who was simply going to win, the smart bettors would of course bet on the better team which would likely win more than 50% of the time in the process.

If winning were that easy for everyone – Las Vegas sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in place. The basic function of the point spread is to help balance the likelihood of each team winning by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment, you get the Against the Spread result (ATS result for short).

How to Read the Point Spread

New York Giants -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The better team, referred to as the Favorite is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with the minus sign along with the number of points they are favored.

In the above example the New York Giants must not only win the game, but they must win the game by more than 7 points for Eagle bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor will win his bet if: Philly wins the game by any amount of points or Philly loses the game by less than 7 points.

There is also the chance that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (example: the Eagles win 28-21 when -7) which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to the bettors on both teams.

The same game and point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective – the Underdog (the Eagles in our example) is not expected to win the game and therefore receives or “gets” points given to them by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the Underdogs perspective, the team is listed with a plus sign along with the number of points they are underdogs by (example: Eagles +7 vs. New York Giants).

Please keep in mind that Philly has +7 and New York has -7 is the same point spread on the same game but it is simply stated differently.

Mathematical Conclusions

For some a mathematical approach is helpful. You can determine the ATS winner by subtracting the point spread from the favorite’s score (the minus sign before the number) and then compare it to the underdogs score. Or by adding the point spread to the underdogs scores (the plus sign before the number) and then compare to the favorites score.

Online Sportsbook Smarts

Thursday, August 13th, 2009

Far too many people are extremely casual when it comes to betting online. Do you gamble online? There’s a common and false thinking pattern that’s emerged. Many people believe that if a website looks respectable then it must be ok. This is a recipe for disaster. Many crooks abound on the Internet and online gambling is the playground of choice for a large number of scam artists.

Are online sportsbooks safe and secure? The short answer is yes and no. There are a good deal of online sportsbooks that are indeed completely legitimate, but there are also many that will suck your money right out of your pocket. So how does one ensure safety? Being smart is the first line of defense. I am going to share with you three quick tips to help reduce the likelihood of being ripped off.

The first of the three steps is deposit methods and amounts. Any reputable sports book will offer a wide variety of depositing methods. Most importantly, they will take deposits from third party services, like NETeller, and in almost any amount. Stay away from places that force you to deposit large amounts of money. A good sportsbook will take very small deposits—perhaps as little as $5.

The second of the three steps involves checking references out. This can be a bit tricky, but it’s well worth your time. Any sportsbook, even a criminal one, can provide stellar customer service. What you want to find out is their payout service. Do they payout fast? Are they nasty? It’s important to find references from those that have won a good deal of money. Even scam sportsbooks pay. The idea is to pay many little guys to get the word out and then strip the big fishes of the money that’s due them.

This step can be carried out by visiting your local search engine and typing in the name of the place in question. Try adding words like forum, talk, chat, scam, ripoff and so forth to the name and url in the search box to see what comes up. I recommend trying at least two different search engines. Don’t settle for the first thing you see. Many scam sportsbooks post positive comments around the Internet.

Finally, the last step is licensing. Never play at any gambling destination that’s not licensed. Furthermore, you want to double-check the license. Don’t just assume they are licensed, because they say so on their website. Spend a little time doing some homework on them. Again, the search engines can be a big help.

If you follow these steps well, you will greatly eliminate your chances of being ripped off by a rogue sportsbook. Don’t assume that being ripped off only happens to other people. It happens all day long, and it probably will happen to you if you are not careful when selecting a new online sportsbook. However, don’t let fear keep you from playing. Online sportsbooks provide an unmatched convenience. Unlike sportsbooks in Las Vegas, online sportsbooks usually give you money for simply playing.